Week 5: College Football Predictions - Modus Rankings

The games are going to be a lot closer this week. Last week, the average rankings delta between opponents was 56 (median 41); this week the average delta is 43 (median 27). Many of the games feature closely ranked opponents like Florida International (#115) at Middle Tennessee State (#118) or Penn State (#27) at Illinois (#29). Last week, there were only 6 games featuring opponents within 10 rankings of each other; this week there are 14 games featuring opponents within 10 rankings of each other. Get ready for some very close games this weekend! Without further ado, here are the predictions (sorted by rank of home team):

HOME TEAM	RANK		OPPONENT	RANK		PREDICTION
Oregon	5		California	14		Oregon
Boston College	8		Massachusetts	NR		Boston College
Texas	9		Kansas St.	49		Texas
Florida	12		Auburn	52		Florida
Rutgers	13		Maryland	74		Rutgers
Kentucky	16		Fla. Atlantic	43		Kentucky
Wisconsin	18		Michigan St.	7		Michigan St.
Purdue	19		Notre Dame	114		Purdue
Connecticut	20		Akron	65		Connecticut
South Fla.	22		West Virginia	6		West Virginia
Nebraska	24		Iowa St.	104		Nebraska
Texas Tech	26		Northwestern St.	NR		Texas Tech
Georgia	28		Mississippi	85		Georgia
Illinois	29		Penn St.	27		Penn St.
Miami (Fla.)	30		Duke	89		Miami (Fla.)
Virginia	33		Pittsburgh	66		Virginia
South Carolina	34		Mississippi St.	41		South Carolina
New Mexico	35		Brigham Young	51		New Mexico
UCF	37		La.-Lafayette	117		UCF
Florida St. (Neutral Site)	38		Alabama	32		Alabama
Virginia Tech	39		North Carolina	100		Virginia Tech
Houston	40		East Caro.	88		Houston
Texas A&M	44		Baylor	48		Texas A&M
Tulsa	45		UAB	92		Tulsa
Boise St.	46		Southern Miss.	53		Boise St.
Bowling Green	47		Western Ky.	NR		Bowling Green
Vanderbilt	50		Eastern Mich.	79		Vanderbilt
TCU	55		Colorado St.	109		TCU
Washington	56		Southern California	3		Southern California
Iowa	57		Indiana	36		Indiana
Oklahoma St.	58		Sam Houston St.	NR		Oklahoma St.
Colorado	60		Oklahoma	2		Oklahoma
Ball St.	62		Buffalo	84		Ball St.
Oregon St.	63		UCLA	31		UCLA
Troy	67		La.-Monroe	111		Troy
Navy	68		Air Force	42		Air Force
Georgia Tech	71		Clemson	15		Clemson
New Mexico St.	73		Ark.-Pine Bluff	NR		New Mexico St.
Northwestern	76		Michigan	70		Michigan
Arkansas	77		North Texas	112		Arkansas
Ohio	78		Kent St.	72		Kent St.
Stanford	80		Arizona St.	4		Arizona St.
Arkansas St.	81		Memphis	96		Arkansas St.
Fresno St.	82		Louisiana Tech	87		Fresno St.
Minnesota	83		Ohio St.	10		Ohio St.
Utah	86		Utah St.	113		Utah
Nevada	90		UNLV	64		UNLV
San Diego St.	91		Cincinnati	17		Cincinnati
North Carolina St.	93		Louisville	69		Louisville
Arizona	94		Washington St.	61		Washington St.
Toledo	95		Western Mich.	98		Toledo
Tulane	97		LSU	1		LSU
Miami (Ohio)	99		Syracuse	105		Miami (Ohio)
San Jose St.	101		UC Davis	NR		San Jose St.
Army	102		Temple	110		Army
Southern Methodist	103		UTEP	75		UTEP
Idaho	106		Hawaii	23		Hawaii
Central Mich.	107		Northern Ill.	108		Central Mich.
Middle Tenn. St.	118		Florida Int'l	115		Florida Int'l