Modus College Football Rankings - 11/18/2007

I am going to brag for a moment. This past weekend, the Modus rankings picked 83% of the outright winners correctly. EIGHTY-THREE PERCENT! That is up 14% from the average of 69%. This is a good sign, but even still, at the end of the season, I am going to evaluate the algorithm to determine if it needs tweaks. I am also going to analyze its performance against the spread, if I have time.

The following are the statistics from this past weekend's Modus Rankings predictions and this weeks rankings (parentheses denotes statistic from last week).

• Modus Rankings Prediction Success Rate: 83% (69%)
• Modus Rankings vs. BCS Top 25: 0.00 (-1.00)
• Modus Rankings vs. BCS Top 10: -2.20 (-1.10)

The following are this weeks Top 25 Modus College Football Rankings plus teams that fell out of the the top 25:

RANK	MODUS	Last	Change	BCS	Modus v. BCS Diff
1	Kansas	1	0	LSU	-1
2	LSU	2	0	Kansas	1
3	Hawaii	8	5	West Virginia	-1
4	West Virginia	6	2	Missouri	-4
5	Ohio St.	3	-2	Ohio St.	0
6	Arizona St.	4	-2	Arizona St.	0
7	Boise St.	10	3	Georgia	-7
8	Missouri	9	1	Virginia Tech	-9
9	Oklahoma	7	-2	Oregon	-2
10	Texas	12	2	Oklahoma	1
11	Oregon	5	-6	Southern California	-4
12	Virginia	11	-1	Florida	-9
13	Boston College	17	4	Texas	3
14	Georgia	19	5	Boston College	1
15	Southern California	13	-2	Hawaii	12
16	BYU	21	5	Virginia	4
17	Virginia Tech	14	-3	Illinois	-2
18	Connecticut	15	-3	Tennessee	-6
19	Illinois	22	3	Boise St.	12
20	South Fla.	24	4	Connecticut	2
21	Florida	30	9	Wisconsin	-4
22	Clemson	18	-4	Clemson	0
23	Cincinnati	16	-7	South Fla.	3
24	Tennessee	28	4	Cincinnati	1
25	Wisconsin	25	0	BYU	9
26	Utah	27	1
27	Air Force	26	-1
28	Tulsa	35	7
29	UCF	31	2
30	Penn St.	20	-10
31	Troy	33	2
32	Michigan	23	-9